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Originally Posted by JARblue
First, Italy is not an analogy for any other country in the world. The high numbers of smokers and elderly population make their statistics essentially useless to the rest of the world.
Secondly, the sampling is still mostly useless when it comes to determining statistics. We need to sample a hell of a lot more people. At this point we are still pretty much flying blind and making guesses as to how things are going to go.
Your last statement is going to be the determining factor of how bad this thing really is IMO. There's got to be dozens variations of the virus based on the varied human responses we are seeing. We still have a lot to learn  |
Fair point about Italy, kinda of was a perfect storm with their population.
I still think we’re going to be looking at around 1% - 2% mortality rate when we finally get good numbers at some point. It’s bad, but it’s still not Ebola bad, if it were, half of us here would be dead by now.
Nevertheless, it’s serious and it’s social disruption factor is off the charts. That aspect may not calm down until there’s a vaccine or everyone just gets used to it, fear of the unknown has def played a big role in this as well.